Skip to content
↗ NairaFX
← Back to Insights

state of the Naira

Dollar to Naira: February 2026 Monthly Market Review

naira FX

Historical monthly report: February 2026 produced one of the widest movements in NairaFX’s published USD/NGN observations for the period: early Naira weakness, strong mid-month appreciation and a late correction. This consolidated report combines the full-month dataset from the original February report with the useful explanation from the February 12–25 snapshot.

February 2026 at a glance

  • Opening observation: approximately ₦1,443 per US Dollar on February 1.
  • Highest USD/NGN observation: approximately ₦1,456 on February 5.
  • Lowest USD/NGN observation: approximately ₦1,327 on February 20.
  • Closing observation: approximately ₦1,375 on February 28.
  • Opening-to-closing movement: about ₦68 fewer per Dollar, representing Naira appreciation in this historical series.

These figures are historical NairaFX published-market observations. They are not official CBN rates and may differ from bank quotes, cash transactions or individual marketplace listings.

NairaFX February 2026 USD to NGN historical market report
Featured visual retained from the original February 2026 report.

Methodology and an important data limitation

The complete monthly article and the shorter February 12–25 article recorded slightly different figures for several overlapping dates. This can happen when observations are captured at different times, from different published snapshots or under different settlement conditions. The table below follows the complete 28-day series stored in ID 4184 because it provides one internally consistent monthly sequence.

The shorter article remains preserved in WordPress as an archived draft. Its figures were not silently blended into the primary series. This distinction is important because historical market observations should not be presented as though they were a single official closing benchmark when their timestamps and methodology differ.

Daily NairaFX observations

Date USD/NGN Direction from prior observation
Feb 1 ₦1,443 Opening observation
Feb 2 ₦1,445 Naira weaker
Feb 3 ₦1,448 Naira weaker
Feb 4 ₦1,452 Naira weaker
Feb 5 ₦1,456 Monthly high
Feb 6 ₦1,445 Naira stronger
Feb 7 ₦1,447 Naira weaker
Feb 8 ₦1,450 Naira weaker
Feb 9 ₦1,446 Naira stronger
Feb 10 ₦1,442 Naira stronger
Feb 11 ₦1,438 Naira stronger
Feb 12 ₦1,430 Naira stronger
Feb 13 ₦1,426 Naira stronger
Feb 14 ₦1,408 Naira stronger
Feb 15 ₦1,380 Naira stronger
Feb 16 ₦1,380 Stable
Feb 17 ₦1,370 Naira stronger
Feb 18 ₦1,363 Naira stronger
Feb 19 ₦1,350 Naira stronger
Feb 20 ₦1,327 Monthly low
Feb 21 ₦1,334 Naira weaker
Feb 22 ₦1,352 Naira weaker
Feb 23 ₦1,360 Naira weaker
Feb 24 ₦1,375 Naira weaker
Feb 25 ₦1,390 Naira weaker
Feb 26 ₦1,365 Naira stronger
Feb 27 ₦1,363 Naira stronger
Feb 28 ₦1,375 Naira weaker

Phase one: early-month resistance

The rate moved from approximately ₦1,443 on February 1 to around ₦1,456 on February 5. Because more Naira were required for one Dollar, the Naira weakened modestly during this phase. The movement was much smaller than the changes recorded later in the month.

Phase two: strong mid-month appreciation

From the February 5 high near ₦1,456, the series declined almost continuously toward approximately ₦1,327 on February 20. In USD/NGN terms, a falling figure means the Naira strengthened because fewer Naira purchased one Dollar. The difference between the two observations was approximately ₦129.

The largest movements clustered around the middle of the month, including the transitions into February 14–15 and February 19–20. The data establishes the direction and size of the observed move; it does not, by itself, prove whether policy action, autonomous inflows, reduced demand or another factor caused it.

Phase three: correction and month-end stabilisation

After reaching approximately ₦1,327, the rate moved back toward ₦1,390 by February 25 before strengthening again on February 26–27 and closing near ₦1,375. This was a correction from the strongest Naira observation, but the closing figure still represented a stronger Naira than the opening observation.

Calling the late move a “correction” is more accurate than assuming it established a permanent reversal. The first week of March later brought a materially different market phase, documented in the connected March report.

What may influence a monthly USD/NGN series

Foreign-currency liquidity

Changes in export receipts, remittances, autonomous inflows and official or commercial supply can alter the amount of foreign currency available relative to demand.

Dollar demand

Import payments, tuition, travel, business obligations and precautionary buying can increase demand. The timing of large transactions can also affect short observation windows.

Policy and expectations

CBN announcements, monetary conditions and expectations about future policy can influence behaviour. Specific causal claims should be tied to an official release rather than inferred only from price movement.

International conditions

US interest rates, global risk sentiment and energy markets can affect the Dollar and emerging-market currencies. Oil is relevant to Nigeria, but its effect depends on production and realised export receipts—not price alone.

Practical lessons for readers

  1. A monthly opening and closing figure can conceal much larger movements within the month.
  2. Always confirm whether a figure is official, a bank quote or a published marketplace observation.
  3. Compare rates captured at similar times and under equivalent settlement routes.
  4. Do not use an old monthly low or high as a guaranteed future trading boundary.
  5. Price direction does not replace account verification, cleared-funds confirmation or Trade Room records.

Frequently asked questions

Did the Naira strengthen in February 2026?

In this NairaFX series, the closing observation required about ₦68 fewer per Dollar than the opening observation. That represents Naira appreciation over the month, despite a significant late correction.

Why do the two original February articles contain different figures?

They appear to record different published snapshots or observation times. The consolidated report uses the complete 28-day series and discloses the difference instead of mixing the datasets.

Are these official CBN closing rates?

No. They are historical NairaFX published-market observations. Official references should be obtained directly from the CBN.

Can February’s low predict a future exchange rate?

No. It is a historical observation, not a forecast, guaranteed support level or recommendation.

Sources and connected reading

Original reports: February 25 and March 1, 2026
Consolidated and reviewed: October 19, 2026
Author: NairaFX Editorial Team

Editorial review statement: This report was reviewed to preserve the complete historical series, disclose conflicting snapshots, explain appreciation and depreciation consistently, and separate NairaFX observations from official CBN references. It is educational content, not financial advice. See the Editorial Policy.

Sources and rate context

NairaFX marketplace rates are not official CBN rates. NairaFX rates reflect member listings and the terms recorded for a specific marketplace transaction. Central Bank of Nigeria NFEM references describe the official market benchmark and may differ by time, source, route, amount and transaction conditions.

Bank procedures and regulatory requirements can change. Confirm current requirements with the relevant bank or regulator before acting.

NairaFX HelpSafe guidance for using NairaFX

Never share passwords, PINs, OTPs, card details, or account numbers here. For a live trade, use only the protected Trade Room.

Hello. How can I help you use NairaFX safely?