state of the Naira
Dollar to Naira: February 2026 Monthly Market Review
Historical monthly report: February 2026 produced one of the widest movements in NairaFX’s published USD/NGN observations for the period: early Naira weakness, strong mid-month appreciation and a late correction. This consolidated report combines the full-month dataset from the original February report with the useful explanation from the February 12–25 snapshot.
February 2026 at a glance
- Opening observation: approximately ₦1,443 per US Dollar on February 1.
- Highest USD/NGN observation: approximately ₦1,456 on February 5.
- Lowest USD/NGN observation: approximately ₦1,327 on February 20.
- Closing observation: approximately ₦1,375 on February 28.
- Opening-to-closing movement: about ₦68 fewer per Dollar, representing Naira appreciation in this historical series.
These figures are historical NairaFX published-market observations. They are not official CBN rates and may differ from bank quotes, cash transactions or individual marketplace listings.

Methodology and an important data limitation
The complete monthly article and the shorter February 12–25 article recorded slightly different figures for several overlapping dates. This can happen when observations are captured at different times, from different published snapshots or under different settlement conditions. The table below follows the complete 28-day series stored in ID 4184 because it provides one internally consistent monthly sequence.
The shorter article remains preserved in WordPress as an archived draft. Its figures were not silently blended into the primary series. This distinction is important because historical market observations should not be presented as though they were a single official closing benchmark when their timestamps and methodology differ.
Daily NairaFX observations
| Date | USD/NGN | Direction from prior observation |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1 | ₦1,443 | Opening observation |
| Feb 2 | ₦1,445 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 3 | ₦1,448 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 4 | ₦1,452 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 5 | ₦1,456 | Monthly high |
| Feb 6 | ₦1,445 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 7 | ₦1,447 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 8 | ₦1,450 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 9 | ₦1,446 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 10 | ₦1,442 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 11 | ₦1,438 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 12 | ₦1,430 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 13 | ₦1,426 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 14 | ₦1,408 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 15 | ₦1,380 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 16 | ₦1,380 | Stable |
| Feb 17 | ₦1,370 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 18 | ₦1,363 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 19 | ₦1,350 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 20 | ₦1,327 | Monthly low |
| Feb 21 | ₦1,334 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 22 | ₦1,352 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 23 | ₦1,360 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 24 | ₦1,375 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 25 | ₦1,390 | Naira weaker |
| Feb 26 | ₦1,365 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 27 | ₦1,363 | Naira stronger |
| Feb 28 | ₦1,375 | Naira weaker |
Phase one: early-month resistance
The rate moved from approximately ₦1,443 on February 1 to around ₦1,456 on February 5. Because more Naira were required for one Dollar, the Naira weakened modestly during this phase. The movement was much smaller than the changes recorded later in the month.
Phase two: strong mid-month appreciation
From the February 5 high near ₦1,456, the series declined almost continuously toward approximately ₦1,327 on February 20. In USD/NGN terms, a falling figure means the Naira strengthened because fewer Naira purchased one Dollar. The difference between the two observations was approximately ₦129.
The largest movements clustered around the middle of the month, including the transitions into February 14–15 and February 19–20. The data establishes the direction and size of the observed move; it does not, by itself, prove whether policy action, autonomous inflows, reduced demand or another factor caused it.
Phase three: correction and month-end stabilisation
After reaching approximately ₦1,327, the rate moved back toward ₦1,390 by February 25 before strengthening again on February 26–27 and closing near ₦1,375. This was a correction from the strongest Naira observation, but the closing figure still represented a stronger Naira than the opening observation.
Calling the late move a “correction” is more accurate than assuming it established a permanent reversal. The first week of March later brought a materially different market phase, documented in the connected March report.
What may influence a monthly USD/NGN series
Foreign-currency liquidity
Changes in export receipts, remittances, autonomous inflows and official or commercial supply can alter the amount of foreign currency available relative to demand.
Dollar demand
Import payments, tuition, travel, business obligations and precautionary buying can increase demand. The timing of large transactions can also affect short observation windows.
Policy and expectations
CBN announcements, monetary conditions and expectations about future policy can influence behaviour. Specific causal claims should be tied to an official release rather than inferred only from price movement.
International conditions
US interest rates, global risk sentiment and energy markets can affect the Dollar and emerging-market currencies. Oil is relevant to Nigeria, but its effect depends on production and realised export receipts—not price alone.
Practical lessons for readers
- A monthly opening and closing figure can conceal much larger movements within the month.
- Always confirm whether a figure is official, a bank quote or a published marketplace observation.
- Compare rates captured at similar times and under equivalent settlement routes.
- Do not use an old monthly low or high as a guaranteed future trading boundary.
- Price direction does not replace account verification, cleared-funds confirmation or Trade Room records.
Frequently asked questions
Did the Naira strengthen in February 2026?
In this NairaFX series, the closing observation required about ₦68 fewer per Dollar than the opening observation. That represents Naira appreciation over the month, despite a significant late correction.
Why do the two original February articles contain different figures?
They appear to record different published snapshots or observation times. The consolidated report uses the complete 28-day series and discloses the difference instead of mixing the datasets.
Are these official CBN closing rates?
No. They are historical NairaFX published-market observations. Official references should be obtained directly from the CBN.
Can February’s low predict a future exchange rate?
No. It is a historical observation, not a forecast, guaranteed support level or recommendation.
Sources and connected reading
- Central Bank of Nigeria exchange-rate information
- Central Bank of Nigeria external-reserve information
- Next report: March 2026 monthly market review
- April 2026 market review
- Currency Exchange Basics
- Rates, Fees and Transparency
Original reports: February 25 and March 1, 2026
Consolidated and reviewed: October 19, 2026
Author: NairaFX Editorial Team
Editorial review statement: This report was reviewed to preserve the complete historical series, disclose conflicting snapshots, explain appreciation and depreciation consistently, and separate NairaFX observations from official CBN references. It is educational content, not financial advice. See the Editorial Policy.
Sources and rate context
NairaFX marketplace rates are not official CBN rates. NairaFX rates reflect member listings and the terms recorded for a specific marketplace transaction. Central Bank of Nigeria NFEM references describe the official market benchmark and may differ by time, source, route, amount and transaction conditions.
- Central Bank of Nigeria — official exchange-rate data
- Central Bank of Nigeria — Nigerian foreign-exchange market overview
- Central Bank of Nigeria — data and statistics
Bank procedures and regulatory requirements can change. Confirm current requirements with the relevant bank or regulator before acting.